State · State primary vote
Demo dataCoalition leads by 12.7%
Weighted average of the latest 6 polls · updated 09/22/2026 · Illustrative polling
Polling average
Demo data- Coalition39.4% ─ 0.0
- Labor26.7% ▼ 0.5
- Greens14.9% ▲ 0.3
- One Nation7.9% ▲ 0.8
Trend · last 14 polls
Demo dataMore state polling
State primary vote
Demo dataNew South Wales
Labor35.6%
Coalition33.3%
Greens10.1%
ALP +2.3 · 14 polls
State primary vote
Demo dataQueensland
Coalition40.4%
Labor30.1%
One Nation11.6%
L/NP +10.3 · 14 polls
State primary vote
Demo dataWestern Australia
Labor41.9%
Coalition33.2%
Greens10.9%
ALP +8.7 · 14 polls
State primary vote
Demo dataSouth Australia
Labor44.9%
Coalition30.1%
Greens10.6%
ALP +14.8 · 14 polls
Recent polls
Demo dataHartwell Panel
N=2,323 · 09/19/2026–09/22/2026 · ±2
Demo data39.4%26.6%15.4%
Cardinal & Vane
N=2,483 · 09/13/2026–09/16/2026 · ±2
Demo data40.3%25.9%14.7%
Northgate Analytics
N=1,024 · 09/07/2026–09/10/2026 · ±3.1
Demo data38.1%27.2%15.1%
Beacon Survey
N=2,703 · 09/01/2026–09/04/2026 · ±1.9
Demo data40.2%26.1%15.1%
Civic Pulse
N=2,918 · 08/26/2026–08/29/2026 · ±1.8
Demo data38.8%27.3%14.6%
Meridian Research
N=1,831 · 08/20/2026–08/23/2026 · ±2.3
Demo data39.4%27.3%14.5%
Hartwell Panel
N=2,593 · 08/14/2026–08/17/2026 · ±1.9
Demo data39.9%28.2%15.1%
Cardinal & Vane
N=1,883 · 08/08/2026–08/11/2026 · ±2.3
Demo data39.4%27.4%12.9%
